Monday, February 27, 2023

Fundamental Analysis of Astral – Segments, Financials & More

Fundamental Analysis of Astral - Cover Image

Fundamental Analysis of Astral: Investors are always looking for companies that are gradual but consistent wealth creators. They slowly, but steadily compound the investments as their earnings and net profits grow year-on-year. Their lack of volatility gives an investor peace of mind. In this article, we’ll conduct a fundamental analysis of one such similar company i.e. Astral Ltd., a consistent, wealth-generating stock, and find out whether it can be a good bet or not. 

Fundamental Analysis of Astral

We’ll start off by getting a quick overview of the business of Astral followed by a segment analysis. Next, we’ll learn about the industry landscape, the financials of the stock, and its future plans. A summary concludes the article at the end. So without further ado, let us jump in.

Company Overview

Astral Ltd. (popularly known as Astral Pipes) was set up in 1996 to manufacture drainage and plumbing products. Fast forward to the present date, it is one of the leading Indian real estate ancillary companies serving millions of households with its product offerings.

The company manufactures  Chlorinated Poly Vinyl Chloride (CPVC) and Poly Vinyl Chloride (PVC) pipes, piping systems, and tanks for drainage, agriculture, fire protection, cable protection, and other end uses. Additionally, it also makes adhesives and sealants. But that’s not all, Astral has also ventured into the paints, faucets, and sanitary ware product lines to tap their growing market in India.

The company owns 18 manufacturing facilities all over the world. Its strong workforce of over 6,000 employees serves customers across 25 countries. Its total domestic installed capacity and UK & US installed capacity stood at 3,36,686 MT and 31,632 MT at the end of FY22 respectively.

The pipe maker has a strong distribution network with 23 depots, 2,535+ distributors, and 1,80,000+ dealers.

Fundamental Analysis of Astral - Annual report
Source: Astral Ltd. Annual Report FY22

We pretty much understand the business and scale of operations of the company now. We’ll move forward to a quick segment analysis of Astral.

Segment Analysis

Product-wise Segments

The fittings, pipes, tanks, and other piping systems form part of the plastic division. The revenue share of the adhesives & sealants segment and the plastic segment has largely remained the same over the last six years.

The table below presents the share (in percentage) of the two revenue segments of Astral Ltd.

Segment Revenue  FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Plastic 75 74 74 77 76 77
Adhesives 25 26 26 23 24 23
(figures in %)

However, a closer look at the segment profits below tells that the contribution of adhesives in the earnings of the company has come down. This is because of the rise in the cost of raw materials used for manufacturing sealants & adhesives. The management expects margin improvement for its smaller division in the coming quarters.

Segment Profit FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Plastic 71 64 69 78 79 81
Adhesives 29 36 31 22 21 19
(figures in %)

Geographical Segments

The table below highlights the share of geographical revenue segments of the company for the last two fiscals. ERROR

Geographical Areas FY21 FY22
Within India 90.15 91.02
Outside India 9.85 8.98
(figures in %)

Industry Overview

For our industry overview of Astral, we’ll take a look at the 3 sectors i.e. the pipes, tanks, and adhesives sectors separately. These are the three segments in which it primarily operates.

Pipes

The Indian plastic pipes market is pegged at Rs 30,000 crore with organized players controlling 65% of the market. Talking about the industry segmentation, plumbing pipes used for residential and commercial real estate make up 50-55% of the total demand. The share of agricultural and infrastructure & industrial demand is 35% and 5-10% respectively.

The domestic plastic pipes market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 12-14% during the FY21 and FY25 period. The demand will primarily be led by the substitution of metal pipes, replacement demand, affordable housing, higher irrigation, and water supply & sanitation (WSS) demand. 

Fundamental Analysis of Astral - Market Report
Source: Crisil

Tanks

The water storage tanks market is Rs 4,500-5,000 crores worth, with unorganized players catering to a majority of 70% of the market. This is because of the voluminous nature of the product which results in high transportation costs. 

However, the outlook for the organized market is strong as the companies are setting up manufacturing and distribution networks throughout the country.

Adhesives

The adhesives market in India was valued at Rs 13,400-13,600 crore in FY21. The industrial (B2B industries such as packaging, footwear, paints & automotive) and consumer (furniture, construction, arts, & electrical) are two sub-segments accounting for 40-42% and 58-60% of the market respectively.

The consumer adhesives market (worth Rs 5,300-5,500 crore in FY21), in which Astral operates is expected to expand at a CAGR of 9-10% during the FY21 and FY26 period.

Thanks for reading so far. We have covered the hardest parts of our fundamental analysis of Astral. In the sections ahead, we’ll race through the financials of the stock.

Astral – Financials

Revenue & Net Profit Growth

The operating revenues of the pipe manufacturer have grown at a CAGR of 12.85% to Rs 4,394 crore in FY22 over the last six years. The table below shows the growing trend of the sales and net profits of Astral.

Financial Year Operating Revenue Operating Profit Net Profit
2022 4,394 781 490
2021 3,176 666 408
2020 2,578 468 250
2019 2,507 388 197
2018 2,139 329 176
2017 2,127 265 145
6-Yr CAGR 12.85% 19.76% 22.58%
(figures in Rs Cr except for CAGR)

But the net profits have increased faster than the operating income. How? We answer this in the section on profit margins of our fundamental analysis of Astral.

Operating & Net Profit Margins

Despite commodity cost inflation in the last few years, the operating and net profit margins have expanded in the last six financial years. The figures below show how the broadening of margins has aided the company to post better bottom-line growth.

Financial Year OPM NPM
2022 17.77 11.16
2021 20.97 12.85
2020 18.16 9.68
2019 15.47 7.87
2018 15.37 8.21
2017 12.44 6.80
(figures in %)

Debt/Equity & Interest Coverage

Speaking of the leverage of the company, Astral is almost a debt-free stock with a minimal debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 and a high-interest coverage ratio of 61.26. Its interest coverage has improved in recent years as the interest charges came down.

Financial Year Debt/Equity Interest Coverage
2022 0.04 61.26
2021 0.02 42.22
2020 0.08 8.81
2019 0.15 9.98
2018 0.12 12.62

Return Ratios

Astral is an efficient and profitable business with high return ratios. The company reported adequate RoCE and RoE of 30.28% and 23.29% in FY22 respectively. 

However, RoE being lower than RoCE reflects that the management can increase earnings for shareholders by including leverage in the capital mix.

The table below presents the return on capital employed (RoCE) and the return on equity (RoE) of Astral for the last five years.

Financial Year RoCE RoE
2022 30.28 23.29
2021 30.32 24.46
2020 21.43 18.57
2019 23.13 18.10
2018 23.88 19.16
(figures in %)

Future Plans of Astral

So far we have only looked at the past years’ data for our fundamental analysis of Astral. In this section, we’ll try to get a sense of what lies ahead for the company and its shareholders.

  1. Astral recently acquired a majority 51% stake in Gem Pants for Rs 194 crore. This will mark a gradual entry of the company into the growing paints market in India.
  2. In addition to this, with the recently launched faucets and sanitary product lines, the company plans to add Rs 1,500 crore to its revenues in the next few years. 

Key Metrics of Astral

Let us now have a review of the key metrics of the stock.

CMP ₹1,860 Market Cap (Cr.) ₹37,500
EPS ₹19.5 Stock P/E 96.8
RoCE 30.28% RoE 23.29%
Promoter Holding 55.8% Book Value ₹120
Debt to Equity 0.04 Price to Book Value 15.50
Net Profit Margin 11.16% Operating Profit Margin 17.77%

In Conclusion

Astral’s focus on maintaining margins and staying a premium company has helped it to grow consistently. It has likewise delivered stellar profit growth. As the company braces for its new ventures, it will be interesting to closely follow the sales data of the paints and sanitary ware divisions in the coming quarters.

After going through our fundamental analysis of Astral, do you think the stock will be able to deliver stellar returns in the future as well? It has given an impressive CAGR return of 32% every year in the last five years. How about you let us know in the comments below?

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