Sunday, November 27, 2022

Fundamental Analysis Of Tata Power – Industry, Future Plans & More Details

Fundamental Analysis Of Tata Power - Cover Image

Fundamental Analysis of Tata Power: The operations of the Tata Group companies seem to be as diversified as the group itself. At one end we have Adani’s three different companies in the green energy, power generation, and transmission sectors. At another end of the spectrum, Tata Power Company Ltd. stands with all three businesses under one umbrella.

Being so diverse, and with 100+ years of legacy, a fundamental analysis of Tata Power is a must.

Fundamental Analysis of Tata Power

In this article, we shall perform a fundamental analysis of Tata Power. We’ll start by getting ourselves acquainted with the history and business of the company, followed by an industry overview.

Later, a few sections are devoted to revenue growth, return ratios, and debt analysis. A highlight of the future plans and a summary conclude the article at the end. Without further ado, let us jump in.

Company Overview

Tata Power Company Ltd. (TPCL) traces its origins to 1910 when it was founded as Tata Hydroelectric Power Supply Company. It was merged with the Andhra Valley Power Supply Company later in 1916. Over the years, it has grown to become one of the largest integrated power companies in India.

This power company has operations across renewable energy production, conventional energy generation, distribution & transmission, and next-gen power solutions. TPCL has a presence in India, Bhutan, Nepal, South Africa, Singapore, Indonesia, Georgia, and Zambia.

As one of the nation’s largest renewable energy companies, it has

  1. wind power production capacity of 932 MW across 7 Indian states
  2. solar generation installed capacity of 2,688 MW 

Additionally, Tata Power also commissions solar rooftop and microgrid projects. It has a solar module manufacturing capacity of 400 MW and a cell capacity of 300 MW. It provides solar pumps and solar-powered water solutions as well.

Talking about Tata’s conventional energy operations, it has 4 hydropower plants with a total installed power generation capacity of 693 MW. Its thermal generation capacity stands at 9032.5 MW and waste heat generation capacity at 240 MW respectively.

As part of its fast-growing next-gen power solutions, TPCL provides solar rooftop EPC, EV charging stations, home automation, and energy management solutions.

Last but not least, Tata Power is also present in the power transmission and distribution business. It supplies electricity to more than 12 million customers in Delhi, Mumbai, Ajmer & Odisha. It has a vast distribution network of over 4 lac circuit kilometers (KM) and 3,531 KM of the transmission network.

Are you awestruck by the broadness of Tata Power’s operations? Catch a breath of fresh air. Next, we move ahead to get an industry overview as part of our fundamental analysis of Tata Power Company.

Industry Overview

India is the third largest electricity producer in the world with an installed power generation capacity of over 3,99,496 MW. The nation’s capacity grew at a CAGR of 8.1% over the last decade. 

Out of the total production, coal-fired power plants accounted for 53% of the total energy produced. It was followed by the 27% share of renewable energy generation.

Fundamental Analysis of Tata Power Company  - Industry

India’s transmission infrastructure has always lagged behind its power generation capabilities. Thus, there is an extra focus to streamline energy transmission operations with the country’s production capacity.

The nation grew its transmission capacity at a CAGR of 6% from 3,20,000 circuit kilometers (ckm) in 2016 to 4,56,716 lacs ckm in 2022. Similarly, the transformation capacity increased from 8,26,958 MVA to 10,79,766 MVA during the same period. 

At the end of FY22, the country’s renewable energy capacity was recorded at 156.61 GW, 39.2% of the nation’s total installed energy capacity. Thus, the sector is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14.23% every year. 

There is another noteworthy topic of India’s growth story. Even though energy consumption has doubled since 2000, India’s energy use on a per capita basis is less than half of the world average. This supports the argument that overall power demand in India is expected to grow at a strong pace.

Having covered the power industry landscape, let us now move on to the revenue and net-profit growth of the company as per our fundamental analysis of Tata Power Company Limited.

Tata Power – Financials

Revenue and Net-profit Growth

The revenues of TPCL have grown at a CAGR of 9.79% over the last 5 years. As for the net profit, it was unusually high in FY18 and FY19. After that, it fell sharply and touched Rs 2,156 crore in the last fiscal only.

The sudden fall in net profit was because of one-time line items. FY18 and FY19 saw a reversal of impairment and profit on sale on investment in associates to the tune of Rs 1,887 crore and Rs 1,897 crore respectively.

The table underneath presents the revenue growth and net-profit growth of Tata Power Company for the previous five fiscal years.

Year Revenue (Rs. Cr.) Net Profit (Rs. Cr.)
2022 42,816 2,156
2021 32,703 1,439
2020 29,136 1,316
2019 29,881 2,606
2018 26,840 2,611

Operating-Profit and Net Profit Margins

The table below displays the operating profit and net-profit margins of Tata Power Company for the previous five financial years.

Year OPM (%) NPM (%)
2022 15.56 5.04
2021 21.27 4.40
2020 18.15 4.52
2019 10.27 8.72
2018 8.55 9.73

We can note here that the effect of one-time gains is visible in FY18 and FY19 with a net-profit margin comparatively higher. However, we can notice how the profits have reduced post this. Profit Margins improved in FY22 but the operating margin took a hit at the same time falling to 15.56% from 21.27% a year ago.

Debt/Equity Ratio and Interest Coverage Ratio

TPCL’s debt-to-equity ratio marginally increased in FY22 as the company incurred more liabilities. It was on a downward trend before that with the company paying back debt.

The table below presents the debt/equity ratio and the interest coverage ratio of Tata Power Company for the last five financial years.

Year Debt/Equity Interest Coverage
2022 2.12 2.18
2021 1.85 1.84
2020 2.47 1.31
2019 2.68 1.14
2018 2.76 1.16

Return Ratios: ROE & ROCE

Talking about the return ratios of the power company, they have remained lower below 10% except for FY18 and FY19. Tata Power clocked sharp revenue growth of 30.92% which resulted in better return ratios in the last fiscal.

The following table highlights the return on equity (RoE) and returns on capital employed (RoCE) of Tata Power Company for the last five fiscal years.

Year NPM (%) NPM (%)
2022 7.75 7.22
2021 5.41 6.80
2020 5.63 9.44
2019 14.02 8.52
2018 16.16 9.88

Future Plans of Tata Power

So far we have looked at only previous years’ results as part of our fundamental analysis of Tata Power Company. Let us get to know what lies ahead for the company and its investors.

  1. Tata Power and Norway-headquartered SN Power partnered in 2018 to develop hydropower projects in India and Nepal.
  2. TPCL has plans to increase its share of non-fossil fuel energy to 40-50% by 2025. Presently, 34% of the portfolio is in clean energy.
  3. The company aims to achieve 22,500 MW power generation capacity by 2025 as part of its ‘Strategic Intent 2025’ with 100% fuel securitization.
  4. As for its transmission and distribution business, TPCL hopes to install a transmission network of 15,000 CKM and reach 40 lakh customers in the next three years.
  5. The management has earmarked a large capital expenditure of more than Rs 75,000 crore for growing the renewable portfolio overall.

Fundamental Analysis Of Tata Power – Key Metrics

We are now at the end of our fundamental analysis of Tata Power. Let us take a quick look at some of the key financial metrics of the company.

CMP ₹229 Market Cap (Cr.) ₹73,000
EPS ₹7.96 Stock P/E 28.8
ROCE 9.3% ROE 8.42%
Face Value ₹1.0 Book Value ₹80
Promoter Holding 46.9% Price to Book Value 2.85
Debt to Equity 2.07 Dividend Yield 0.76%
Net Profit Margin 5.27% Operating Profit Margin 15.60%

In Conclusion

In our fundamental analysis of Tata Power above, we got ourselves acquainted with the diverse nature of the company. And the company is not just diverse in terms of segments, it also has a geographical diversity with a worldwide presence.

In your opinion, does this make TPCL a slow-growing company? Should the Tata Group consider de-merging the companies like Adani’s? Will TPCL be able to continue its FY22 growth figures in the future? What are your thoughts on Tata Power Company?

How about we continue this conversation in the comments below?

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